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Cuckoo Paul

AirAsia India – Finding New Tiruchirapallis

 

Tony Fernandes, Group CEO, AirAsia Image by : Vikas Khot

IndiGo, arguably India’s favorite airline today, stands to lose the most when the Tony Fernandes-Tata combine swoops in with AirAsia India. Outwardly, both IndiGo and AirAsia are remarkably similar airlines. Fast-growing LCCs, and leaders in their home markets. Both operate Airbus A320s. They are also both hugely bullish airlines, as indicated by the seriously large number of planes ordered, co-incidentally, at the same air-show at Paris in 2011.

That year, the 400 orders, the two carriers placed, were enough to put European plane- maker Airbus’s A320 Neo program on the gravy train. Taking the similarities a bit further, both carriers are led by founders who took on very strong competition and beat the stuffing out of it.

For all this, in fundamental ways that really matter, 6E and AK, are like chalk and cheese. We captured a flavor of this in our story on Tony Fernandes, when we met him in Mumbai in 2010. We’d called him the Genghis Khan of air-travel, since he made a living from doing to air-fares, what the Mongol king did to rivals heads. He chopped them, we said. Rahul Bhatia, on the other hand, we are sure, is no Genghis. And this, from a customer perspective, could really be the biggest difference between the two carriers.

For a majority of AirAsia passengers the pull is without doubt, the airline’s rock-bottom fares. Their formula is classic, and has worked the world over. Start connecting city-pairs, where there is little or no air travel. Offer mouth-wateringly low fares periodically- the kind that make people want to find reasons to travel. It works even better if the destination has a beach, or is a tourist attraction like Phuket and Chiang Mai. Traffic gradually builds up, and then you can put more flights on the route.Tony has used the strategy on the India routes and the Indian joint venture will certainly create new demand using this.

For Rahul Bhatia, low fares were the launch pad yet for most passengers today, IndiGo is not the cheapest way to fly Image by: Amit Verma

One reason why IndiGo should indeed be worried is AirAsia’s skill at picking winning city-pairs. They did this in Malaysia, Indonesia, Thailand and more recently in China. In India, they started with Tiruchirapalli, which turned into a wonderful pair when connected with Kuala Lumpur. The huge number of ethnic Indians living in Malaysia were a ready market, and flights are already up to 14 flights a week. The AirAsia-Tata-Bhatia venture, is planned on precisely this principle. From the base in Chennai, the plan is to connect smaller cities all over India first and later move out into the continent.

For Rahul Bhatia, low fares were the launch pad yet for most passengers today, IndiGo is not the cheapest way to fly. But it is often the most reliable. Though it promises the lowest fares in the market, tickets are rarely available for booking on those fares. IndiGo, is also slow on cut-price sales designed to `stimulate’ the market.

The airline has managed to remain profitable and efficient, through an amazingly clear-minded control on costs, that is ingrained into every aspect of planning and operations. The relentless focus is the reason why 6E could trump Jet Airways quarter after quarter. The larger airline has been unable to respond, though JetKonnect was created to stave off IndiGo.

Tony’s India Challenge
Even if he has honed the LCC game in southeast Asia and taken on Goliaths like AirAsia and Singapore Airlines- Tony knows that India could be really tough. He tracks the country very closely and has many friends here. He has been waiting for his chance, for almost a decade. 2010 was supposed to be his India year. He had planned to launch 148 weekly flights, connecting a dozen cities, creating a network of flights from India to his international hubs. He used a three pronged strategy- bringing in AirAsia Bhd (the Malaysian carrier), AirAsia X and AirAsia Thai (to operate to eastern India from Bangkok). Sadly, the plan didn’t quite work out. In January last year, AirAsia X stopped operating from KL to Mumbai,Delhi and Hyderabad, citing poor demand and expensive airports.

AirAsia Bhd continues to fly into India, linking KL and Bangkok to Kolkata and other cities in South India. Tony will have to find ways to save costs, that others in India have been unable to. Cheap deals from airport operators, ways to buy cheaper fuel, ability to make consumers pay extra for everything– all LCC tools used everywhere else except India. But along with all that, he will have to find a dozen more Tiruchirapallis.

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Interesting article. Air travel in India has been driven by travel mostly between tier I cities in india. I believe demand in the tier I cities has come to a saturation point and the real growth is in the tier II and tier III cities. The secondary markets are poised to grow much faster than the primary markets. The turboprops such as the ATRs are good for short distances. However India will need regional jets to fly point to point and city pairs that are above 450 KMs. The turbo props are not efficent above this distance. City pairs such as Bangalore- Chandigarh, Bangalore - Amritsar have passenger demand of 80 to 100 seats today. But in order to fly there you either have to go through Delhi or Mumbai. I see direct flights in the future, but this cannot be done with the narrowbodies (A320, B737). The reason is pax demand is not enough to fill a narrow body. A 90 to 120 seat regional jet can be used on these routes to stimulate traffic...
Hi Rao, That is precisely a market which Paramount wanted to address with its Embraer lineage. However with the escalating cost and unable to repay the debts put this fantastic airline into its coffin.
Yes Surya, Paramount did well in those days but now the scenario has changed. the main carriers have turboprops that will create a hub and spoke system. For example lets say Indigo were to accquire turboprops and a passenger wanted to fly from Bangalore to Chandigarh one would have to take a flight to Delhi and then change over into a trurbo prop from delhi to Chandigarh. It will be interesting to see the fare structure between Bangalore and Chandigarh that Indigo would offer using two tyoes of aircraft. the total elapsed time would be longer than a direct flight on a regional jet between bangalore and chandigarh. time will tell >>>soon
From your article "Even if he has honed the LCC game in southeast Asia and taken on Goliaths like AirAsia and Singapore Airlines" May be you meant Malaysian airlines and Singapore Airlines. Tony is really a hands-on CEO, when I was in KL LCC terminal for a meeting, I have seen him personally working with baggage handlers and house keeping staff. He has got that basic risk taking instinct which has served him well in most of the businesses that he has ventured into. It remains to be seen how Tony manages to navigate through Indian Bureaucratic maze and very high tax rates & usage charges
You are spot on Bhasker. From 2 planes when it started, versus Malaysian's 125, Tony has been able to build the airline to its current leadership. AirAsia has close to 60% of the market in Malaysia. And has been able to grow profitably. This wouldn't have been possible without Tony's attention to detail and risk-taking.
Tiruchi going to benefit more, good luck tiruchi
Do you think that the Tata's have a bigger game-plan in mind here and that the JV is their way of testing the waters?
Hmm...what kind of game plan I wonder? Ironical that they've been the pioneers in Indian aviation- but so spectacularly unsuccessful so far.
Ravindran Subramanian
Sure Tony Fernandes is trying to be a game changer in India. It will not be so easy as it is not really that simple offering a LCC in India. The plethora of government levies and an Indian consumer who expects more but is often unwilling to pay for it are formidable challenges.
Just heard him respond to that on a conference call with the media. He says he is ``battle-hardened and has faced regulatory challenges and hostile airport companies very often.'' Notwithstanding this, he does stop operating when a route gets unviable. He doesn't fly to Mumbai and Delhi now. Can he afford to do that when he starts a domestic airline?
Sure it is. Would be keen to observe the disruption that Air Asia would bring onto the airlines play in India. But its going to be a formidable competition to all the existing players. Now KF employees must heave a sigh of relief.. Just an observation: "Even if he has honed the LCC game in southeast Asia and taken on Goliaths like AirAsia and Singapore Airlines-" guess it should read as taken on Goliaths like Singapore Airlines( from the point of Air Asia)
Yes, thank you!
Any airline that will cut monopoly & cartelization is welcome . All so called discount airlines capitalized on exit of Kingfisher Airlines & raked in the moolah. Imagine paying Rs 8000 for a one way fare to Bangalore from Chennai & 20000 to Kolkatta.
The business is entirely about demand-supply. Fares unlikely to go down unless someone rocks the boat- and keeps rocking it!
 
 
Cuckoo Paul
Cuckoo Paul is Associate editor at Forbes India. She spends most of her time looking for interesting business stories. She is biased towards tales of dirty, old-style, brick-and-mortar companies in the oil & gas, power and heavy engineering companies.
She also looks continuously, if somewhat skeptically, over the horizon to examine clean technologies which threaten to change the old order.

Apart from refining margins, her other obsession is with things airborne. She learnt flying on a Piper Super Cub and follows commercial and general aviation keenly. She is also on the board of Childfund India, an NGO that supports about 70,000 children in the country.
 
 
 
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March 03, 2013 20:40 pm by Rao
Yes Surya, Paramount did well in those days but now the scenario has changed. the main carriers have turboprops that will create a hub and spoke system. For example lets say Indigo were to accquire turboprops and a passenger wanted to fly from Bangalore to Chandigarh one would have to take a flight ...
February 24, 2013 18:54 pm by surya kumar
Hi Rao, That is precisely a market which Paramount wanted to address with its Embraer lineage. However with the escalating cost and unable to repay the debts put this fantastic airline into its coffin.
February 23, 2013 12:33 pm by Rao
Interesting article. Air travel in India has been driven by travel mostly between tier I cities in india. I believe demand in the tier I cities has come to a saturation point and the real growth is in the tier II and tier III cities. The secondary markets are poised to grow much faster than the prim...
February 23, 2013 02:50 am by Cuckoo
You are spot on Bhasker. From 2 planes when it started, versus Malaysian's 125, Tony has been able to build the airline to its current leadership. AirAsia has close to 60% of the market in Malaysia. And has been able to grow profitably. This wouldn't have been possible without Tony's attention to de...
February 22, 2013 00:03 am by Cuckoo
Hmm...what kind of game plan I wonder? Ironical that they've been the pioneers in Indian aviation- but so spectacularly unsuccessful so far.
 
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