The race is on to sign up viewers for video-on-demand. Web veteran Patrick Grove says his Kuala Lumpur startup Iflix will be the winner in Asia and elsewhere
“ I love creating disruptive companies with talented people. I want to be great at it. It’s the sport that I play.[/qt]
The Iflix pitches have raised at least $180 million from outside investors, including a $100 million infusion expected to be announced any day. Kuwait’s Zain Group, Los Angeles-based Evolution Media Capital and Catcha itself contrib- uted to this round, along with Europe’s Sky TV, which upped its stake after kicking in $45 million last March. Grove says Iflix’s valuation is now “north of $500 million”.
But hundreds of millions more will be needed. “The cash burn in [subscription video] cannot be underestimated, especially in content costs,” says Vivek Couto, executive director of Singapore research house Media Partners Asia. “Through various rounds you probably have to spend at least $500 million to start to approach break-even in Southeast Asia.” And that doesn’t include Iflix’s plans to invade markets in South Asia, the Middle East and Africa. Grove and Britt won’t say how much they believe they need to raise. They also won’t talk publicly about the size of Grove’s stake, how much revenue they expect to generate this year and how big a loss will be incurred. Couto reckons that if total subscription-video revenue in Southeast Asia reaches $120 million this year, Iflix’s share might be 35 percent, or $42 million.
Subscription-video revenue worldwide might reach $25.7 billion by 2021, according to London-based Digital TV Research, and the race is on to capture chunks of this business. In East Asia, Iflix faces rivals backed by heavyweight players such as Singtel-Sony’s Hooq, PCCW’s Viu and others. None of them, however, is publicly striving for 1 billion subscribers by 2020, as Iflix is. (It has only 4 million now.) It may take years, but Grove and Britt believe that aside from two or three giants, there will be just a few smaller global outfits providing a less expensive, local array of content to the new middle classes of developing countries. Iflix plans to be one of them and to dominate in more than 50 markets around the world.
The analogy may be the ride-hailing industry. The assumption in the US was that in its expansion overseas, Uber was invading virgin markets and would be encountering little local competition. That turned out not to be true. Now US investors see Netflix as the pioneer as it expands abroad, but it’s finding local rivals already in place. “As long as you can execute faster and nimbler, you’ll always build a better business than the American that everybody fears is coming to these markets,” Grove says. “We’re customised for each market. We’re appealing to every demographic. In Indonesia, 50 percent of our movies and shows are Indonesian. Pakistan and Indonesia are both Muslim countries, but only 20 percent of their Iflix content overlaps.”
All too familiar with erratic internet speeds in parts of Asia, Grove has insisted since Iflix’s first national launches in 2015 that the service offer an alternative to streaming: Videos have to be downloadable to a phone or tablet for offline viewing on those devices or on a TV. The download feature is something that he says Western companies, assuming that a single concept will work everywhere, might not think of: “We were the first ones in the world to do downloading.” Netflix, which had entered most of the world’s markets by early last year, introduced the feature only last November.
Iflix’s most popular titles, from left, in Indonesia, the Philippines, Thailand and Malaysia. Iflix works with government regulators and censors before launching around the world
Netflix launched simultaneously with one-month free trials in nearly every country it hadn’t entered yet—without government approvals, going through censorship boards or considering technological hurdles with payments and streaming—and encountered something of a backlash. Netflix did not respond to requests to comment.
In contrast, Iflix works with government regulators and censors before launching in each country. For Vietnam, which Iflix plans to enter in the next few months, this has entailed getting censors’ approval for every episode of every TV series. Iflix plans to follow the Netflix model, however, by creating its own local TV series and movies. Iflix Arabia will launch the first two Iflix productions, featuring some top Middle Eastern stars, in coming months. To solve the problem of getting customers to keep finding more shows to watch, Iflix has harnessed the power of celebrities, such as Philippine singer Karylle Tatlonghari, Indonesian actress Michelle Ziudith, Thai comic Note Taepanich and Malaysian musician Afdlin Shauki. They compile favourite playlists and keep their fans updated through social media, and in return they receive small equity stakes in Iflix.
Long before getting into the details of content, pricing and technology, however, Grove and Britt had to convince investors of the potential of their concept. The opportunity was in a young demographic in developing countries that was coming of age with the expectation of video-on-demand, not on a schedule, and whose first and default internet connection would be a mobile device. Markets such as Morocco, Myanmar, Pakistan and Nigeria are very different, says Britt, yet are similar in that “paid-television penetration is low and internet connectivity is leapfrogging ahead—in some instances going from no connection at all straight to 4G”.
Britt, who arrived at Iflix after posts in Australian broadcast TV and at online content outfits, scoffs at the claim that people in countries awash in pirated products won’t pay for the real thing: “That’s a gross oversimplification.” The successes of iTunes and Spotify have shown that people will pay for quality content at the right price, he says. An Analysys Mason survey of 4,000 mobile internet users in Indonesia, Malaysia, the Philippines and Vietnam last year found that a surprising 1,970 had already bought video online. The most popular vendors were Google Play and iTunes, indicating that these were one-off purchases, but they were followed in popularity by Netflix and Iflix, according to analyst Harsh Upadhyay.
[qt] Iflix offers unlimited viewing of 20,000 hours’ worth of movies and TV shows at any time for a monthly fee
(This story appears in the 14 April, 2017 issue of Forbes India. To visit our Archives, click here.)